Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 21/07, 15:00
Prediction: Herentals FC vs Manica Diamonds FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Herentals FC1.59
Manica Diamonds FC0.58
1X2
Herentals FC
Draw
Manica Diamonds FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Herentals FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Manica Diamonds FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Herentals FC
2–3–1
Manica Diamonds FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herentals FC 1505 · Manica Diamonds FC 1433
| Herentals FC | Draw | Manica Diamonds FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 27% | 12% |
| Market | 61% | 27% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herentals FC (rating 1505 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Herentals FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Herentals FC | Manica Diamonds FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/75/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Herentals FC 2–3–1 Manica Diamonds FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 1-2 | Herentals FC |
| 19/07/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 0-1 | Herentals FC |
| 29/03/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Herentals FC | 1-1 | Manica Diamonds FC |
| 11/08/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 0-0 | Herentals FC |
| 13/04/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Herentals FC | 1-2 | Manica Diamonds FC |
| 27/08/23 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 1-1 | Herentals FC |
Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottland FC Mabvuku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 37 | 7 | 49 |
| 2 | Hardrock FC | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Dynamos FC | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Ngezi Platinum FC | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 40 |
| 5 | CAPS United | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 39 |
| 6 | Highlanders FC | 23 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | Herentals FC | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 36 |
| 8 | Simba Bhora | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 32 |
| 9 | FC Platinum | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 31 |
| 10 | MWOS FC | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 30 |
| 11 | Chicken Inn FC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 30 |
| 12 | ZPC Kariba FC | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 14 | FC Hunters | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 21 |
| 15 | Agama FC | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 19 |
| 16 | Telone FC | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 17 |
| 17 | Manica Diamonds FC | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 16 |
| 18 | Triangle United | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 31 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Herentals FC | Manica Diamonds FC |
|---|---|---|
| CAPS United | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Chicken Inn FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| ZPC Kariba FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Scottland FC Mabvuku | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| FC Platinum | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Simba Bhora | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Herentals FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herentals FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Manica Diamonds FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herentals FC vs Manica Diamonds FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Herentals FC win (61%). Probabilities: Herentals FC 61%, draw 27%, Manica Diamonds FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Herentals FC vs Manica Diamonds FC?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Herentals FC 1.59 · Manica Diamonds FC 0.58), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Herentals FC vs Manica Diamonds FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.