Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/07, 23:30
Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.75Total
Nueva Chicago1.08
Agropecuario0.66
1X2
Nueva Chicago
Draw
Agropecuario
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Chicago
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Agropecuario
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nueva Chicago
3–3
Agropecuario
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1482 · Agropecuario 1445
| Nueva Chicago | Draw | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Chicago | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 3–0–3 Agropecuario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 27/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Agropecuario |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 22/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 18/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Agropecuario |
| 14/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Agropecuario |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 8 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nueva Chicago | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Maipu | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Almagro | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Patronato Parana | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Colegiales | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Agropecuario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Chicago win (45%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 45%, draw 33%, Agropecuario 22%.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario?
The model expects 1.75 goals (Nueva Chicago 1.08 · Agropecuario 0.66), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.