Football · Malawi Top 8 Cup · 12/07, 14:30

Prediction: Karonga United vs Silver Strikers

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Karonga United0.83
Silver Strikers1.49
1X2
20% 28% 52%
Karonga United Draw Silver Strikers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Karonga United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDWLWLLDL
Silver Strikers 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWWDWD
Head-to-head
Karonga United 0–2–4 Silver Strikers (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karonga United 1458 · Silver Strikers 1565
Karonga UnitedDrawSilver Strikers
Our model20%29%52%
Market20%28%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1458 vs 1565).
  • H2H favours Silver Strikers: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Karonga UnitedSilver Strikers
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.6 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.10.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.52.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karonga United 024 Silver Strikers

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Malawi Top 8 Cup
Silver Strikers2-0
HT 2-0
Karonga United
14/12/25
Malawi Super League
Karonga United1-1
HT 0-0
Silver Strikers
25/06/25
Malawi Super League
Silver Strikers3-1
HT 1-0
Karonga United
25/05/24
Malawi Super League
Silver Strikers4-2
HT 1-1
Karonga United
25/06/23
Malawi Super League
Silver Strikers4-0
HT 1-0
Karonga United
25/09/22
Malawi Super League
Silver Strikers0-0
HT 0-0
Karonga United

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKaronga UnitedSilver Strikers
Moyale Barracks 0-0 D 4-1 W
Blue Eagles 2-3 L 0-1 L
Red Lions 1-0 W 3-0 W
Mighty Wanderers 1-4 L 0-0 D
Civil Service Utd 1-0 W 1-1 D
MAFCO 1-1 D 1-0 W
Kamuzu Barracks 1-1 D 2-0 W
Masters FC 1-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karonga United

LDDWLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-2 1-3 84 L
28/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 62 D
21/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
2-2 2-3 34 L
14/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-2 0-2 28 L
31/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 50 W
27/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-3 1-4 12 L
24/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 43 W
17/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 75 D
10/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-1 45 D
03/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 52 L

Silver Strikers

WWLWDWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 16 D
28/06 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
2-0 3-0 91 W
20/06 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 41 D
14/06 Karonga United
Malawi Top 8 Cup
2-0 2-0 68 W
30/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 83 W
24/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 24 D
17/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
2-0 3-0 74 W
10/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 84 L
02/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 4-1 60 W
25/04 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
2-0 2-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karonga United vs Silver Strikers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Silver Strikers win (52%). Probabilities: Karonga United 20%, draw 28%, Silver Strikers 52%.

How many goals are expected in Karonga United vs Silver Strikers?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Karonga United 0.83 · Silver Strikers 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Karonga United vs Silver Strikers?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.