Football · Malawi Top 8 Cup · 12/07, 14:30

Prediction: Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Ekhaya FC1.04
Big Bullets1.24
1X2
29% 32% 39%
Ekhaya FC Draw Big Bullets
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ekhaya FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWDDWD
Big Bullets 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
DWWDDDDWWW
Head-to-head
Ekhaya FC 0–1–2 Big Bullets (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekhaya FC 1529 · Big Bullets 1564
Ekhaya FCDrawBig Bullets
Our model29%31%40%
Market29%32%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Big Bullets: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ekhaya FCBig Bullets
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.71.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.93.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.12.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekhaya FC 012 Big Bullets

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Malawi Top 8 Cup
Big Bullets1-1
HT 0-0
Ekhaya FC
14/12/25
Malawi Super League
Big Bullets2-0
HT 2-0
Ekhaya FC
02/07/25
Malawi Super League
Ekhaya FC0-1
HT 0-0
Big Bullets

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEkhaya FCBig Bullets
MAFCO 1-0 W 1-0 W
Mighty Wanderers 1-1 D 2-1 W
Masters FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Kamuzu Barracks 4-1 W 2-1 W
Moyale Barracks 2-0 W 1-1 D
Civil Service Utd 0-1 L 2-2 D
Red Lions 1-1 D 0-0 D
Blue Eagles 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 4 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekhaya FC

LDLWWWDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 72 D
28/06 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 34 D
13/06 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 1-1 31 D
30/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 52 W
23/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
2-0 4-1 42 W
16/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-0 76 W
09/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 62 L
02/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 35 D
26/04 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-2 1-2 42 L

Big Bullets

DWWDDDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 37 W
29/06 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 W
21/06 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 121 W
13/06 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 1-1 61 D
31/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-1 15 D
23/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 53 D
17/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 D
10/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 W
03/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 51 W
25/04 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-2 22 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Big Bullets win (39%). Probabilities: Ekhaya FC 29%, draw 32%, Big Bullets 39%.

How many goals are expected in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Ekhaya FC 1.04 · Big Bullets 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.