Football · Malawi Top 8 Cup · 11/07, 14:30

Prediction: Civil Service Utd vs Blue Eagles

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Civil Service Utd1.17
Blue Eagles1.52
1X2
27% 30% 43%
Civil Service Utd Draw Blue Eagles
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Civil Service Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLLDWL
Blue Eagles 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDWWLW
Head-to-head
Civil Service Utd 3–2–1 Blue Eagles (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Civil Service Utd 1510 · Blue Eagles 1552
Civil Service UtdDrawBlue Eagles
Our model28%28%44%
Market26%31%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blue Eagles (rating 1510 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours Civil Service Utd: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Civil Service UtdBlue Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.91.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.31 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)0.6 / 2.11.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Civil Service Utd 321 Blue Eagles

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/10/25
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd3-1
HT 1-0
Blue Eagles
04/05/25
Malawi Super League
Blue Eagles0-2
HT 0-0
Civil Service Utd
28/08/22
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd0-0
HT 0-0
Blue Eagles
18/05/22
Malawi Super League
Blue Eagles0-0
HT 0-0
Civil Service Utd
26/09/21
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd1-0
HT 0-0
Blue Eagles
21/11/20
World Club Friendlies
Blue Eagles1-0
HT 1-0
Civil Service Utd

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCivil Service UtdBlue Eagles
Creck SC 1-0 W 2-0 W
Silver Strikers 1-1 D 1-0 W
Mitundu Baptist FC 0-3 L 2-3 L
Karonga United 0-1 L 3-2 W
Chitipa United 0-1 L 0-1 L
Ekhaya FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Dedza Dynamos 1-0 W 2-0 W
Big Bullets 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Blue Eagles (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Civil Service Utd

WDWWLLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 32 L
28/06 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 W
20/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 21 D
30/05 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-3 01 L
24/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 73 L
16/05 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 11 L
09/05 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 22 W
03/05 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 03 W
25/04 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-2 22 D
27/12 Songwe Border Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 5-0 W

Blue Eagles

WWLWWDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 W
27/06 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-3 41 L
21/06 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
2-2 3-2 84 W
30/05 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 W
23/05 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 33 D
17/05 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 21 W
10/05 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 34 W
02/05 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 34 L
26/04 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
2-0 2-1 42 W
04/01 MAFCO
Malawi Challenge Cup
1-0 1-0 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Civil Service Utd vs Blue Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Blue Eagles win (43%). Probabilities: Civil Service Utd 27%, draw 30%, Blue Eagles 43%.

How many goals are expected in Civil Service Utd vs Blue Eagles?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Civil Service Utd 1.17 · Blue Eagles 1.52), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Civil Service Utd vs Blue Eagles?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.