Football · Ecuador Cup · 29/07, 22:00

Prediction: Gualaceo SC vs Macara

Team pages: Gualaceo SC · Macara

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Gualaceo SC0.78
Macara1.08
1X2
26% 33% 42%
Gualaceo SC Draw Macara
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gualaceo SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWWDLD
Macara 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Gualaceo SC 2–1–0 Macara (3 last)
  • Macara1-1Gualaceo SC
  • Gualaceo SC2-1Macara
  • Gualaceo SC1-0Macara
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gualaceo SC 1508 · Macara 1553
Gualaceo SCDrawMacara
Our model25%34%41%
Market26%31%43%
Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macara (rating 1508 vs 1553).
  • H2H favours Gualaceo SC: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gualaceo SCMacara
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.61.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.22.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gualaceo SC 210 Macara

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/09/22
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Macara1-1
HT 0-1
Gualaceo SC
30/04/22
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Gualaceo SC2-1
HT 0-0
Macara
27/11/16
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Gualaceo SC1-0
HT 0-0
Macara

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gualaceo SC

DLWWLWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 63 D
18/07 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 L
11/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 84 D
01/07 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 2-1 04 W
10/06 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 57 W
06/06 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 09 L
03/06 Mushuc Runa
Ecuador Cup
1-0 1-0 36 W
30/05 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 16 W
22/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-2 1-2 93 L
16/05 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-1 64 D

Macara

LDDWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 SD Aucas
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 4-1 23 W
22/07 Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 3-0 46 W
18/07 Delfin SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 1-2 46 L
14/07 Mushuc Runa
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 2-1 45 W
11/07 Tecnico Universitario
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 2-0 44 W
05/07 LDU Quito
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 1-0 50 W
05/06 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador Cup
0-0 1-0 25 W
02/06 Leones FC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-1 54 D
29/05 America de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 0-0 95 D
24/05 Emelec
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-2 0-2 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gualaceo SC vs Macara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Macara win (42%). Probabilities: Gualaceo SC 26%, draw 33%, Macara 42%.

How many goals are expected in Gualaceo SC vs Macara?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Gualaceo SC 0.78 · Macara 1.08), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gualaceo SC vs Macara?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.