Prediction: Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC
Team pages: Independiente del Valle · Manta FC
- Independiente del Valle4-0Manta FC
- Manta FC0-2Independiente del Valle
- Manta FC0-0Independiente del Valle
- Independiente del Valle2-0Manta FC
- Independiente del Valle1-1Manta FC
- Manta FC2-1Independiente del Valle
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente del Valle (rating 1648 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Independiente del Valle: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente del Valle | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.9 | 1.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente del Valle 3–2–1 Manta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Independiente del Valle | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Manta FC |
| 03/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Independiente del Valle |
| 10/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente del Valle |
| 20/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Independiente del Valle | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Manta FC |
| 19/10/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Independiente del Valle | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Manta FC |
| 03/05/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Independiente del Valle |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente del Valle | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orense | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Tecnico Universitario | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Emelec | 6-1 W | 0-0 D |
| SD Aucas | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Guayaquil City | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente del Valle (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente del Valle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Rosario Central Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
Manta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente del Valle win (78%). Probabilities: Independiente del Valle 78%, draw 16%, Manta FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Independiente del Valle 2.31 · Manta FC 0.51), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.