Football · Ecuador Cup · 30/07, 22:00

Prediction: LDU Quito vs Leones FC

Team pages: LDU Quito · Leones FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
LDU Quito1.38
Leones FC0.66
1X2
54% 29% 17%
LDU Quito Draw Leones FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Quito 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLDDLLDW
Leones FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDWDW
Head-to-head
LDU Quito 1–1 Leones FC (2 last)
  • LDU Quito0-1Leones FC
  • Leones FC0-2LDU Quito
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LDU Quito 1509 · Leones FC 1544
LDU QuitoDrawLeones FC
Our model53%30%17%
Market54%28%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LDU QuitoLeones FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.12 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.24.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Quito 101 Leones FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
LDU Quito0-1
HT 0-1
Leones FC
18/03/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Leones FC0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLDU QuitoLeones FC
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 0-1 L 1-0 W
Club Atletico Libertad 0-0 D 3-1 W
Macara 0-1 L 1-1 D
Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Leones FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LDU Quito

DWWLDDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-0 35 W
23/07 Manta FC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 1-1 76 D
18/07 Leones FC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 0-1 95 L
16/07 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 0-1 75 L
12/07 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 0-0 75 D
09/07 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador Cup
1-1 1-1 84 D
05/07 Macara
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 0-1 70 L
02/07 Orense
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 3-0 74 W
27/05 Always Ready
Copa Libertadores
1-2 3-2 43 W
24/05 Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-1 25 D

Leones FC

WLWDWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Delfin SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-0 32 W
23/07 Guayaquil City
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 1-1 95 D
18/07 LDU Quito
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 1-0 45 W
16/07 Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 1-1 54 D
11/07 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 1-0 311 W
04/07 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
2-1 3-1 76 W
02/06 Macara
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-1 44 D
30/05 Huaquillas FC
Ecuador Cup
1-0 1-0 27 W
24/05 Tecnico Universitario
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 1-2 14 L
17/05 Mushuc Runa
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
2-1 3-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LDU Quito vs Leones FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Quito win (54%). Probabilities: LDU Quito 54%, draw 29%, Leones FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in LDU Quito vs Leones FC?

The model expects 2.04 goals (LDU Quito 1.38 · Leones FC 0.66), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LDU Quito vs Leones FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.