Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 15/08, 18:00
Prediction: Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor
Team pages: Fatih Karagumruk · Umraniyespor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Fatih Karagumruk1.54
Umraniyespor0.78
1X2
Fatih Karagumruk
Draw
Umraniyespor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fatih Karagumruk
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Umraniyespor
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fatih Karagumruk
4–2–0
Umraniyespor
(6 last)
- Fatih Karagumruk1-0Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor1-2Fatih Karagumruk
- Umraniyespor2-2Fatih Karagumruk
- Fatih Karagumruk4-2Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor1-3Fatih Karagumruk
- Umraniyespor1-1Fatih Karagumruk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fatih Karagumruk 1504 · Umraniyespor 1465
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Umraniyespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fatih Karagumruk: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fatih Karagumruk | Umraniyespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.3 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fatih Karagumruk 4–2–0 Umraniyespor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Fatih Karagumruk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Umraniyespor |
| 18/12/24 Türkiye Cup | Umraniyespor | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 31/08/24 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 18/04/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Fatih Karagumruk | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Umraniyespor |
| 22/10/22 Türkiye Super Lig | Umraniyespor | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 21/06/20 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fatih Karagumruk |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sariyer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Kayserispor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Antalyaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Esenler Erokspor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Batman Petrolspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Pendikspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Mardin 1969 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Umraniyespor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Keciorengucu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Bodrum FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Fatih Karagumruk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Muglaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vanspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fatih Karagumruk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/03 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Umraniyespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Galatasaray Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fatih Karagumruk win (55%). Probabilities: Fatih Karagumruk 55%, draw 27%, Umraniyespor 18%.
How many goals are expected in Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Fatih Karagumruk 1.54 · Umraniyespor 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.