Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 15/08, 20:30

Prediction: Bursaspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Team pages: Bursaspor · 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Bursaspor1.74
76 Igdir Belediyespor1.04
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Bursaspor Draw 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bursaspor 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWDWWWWDW
76 Igdir Belediyespor 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWDLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bursaspor 1600 · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1478
BursasporDraw76 Igdir Belediyespor
Our model53%26%21%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bursaspor (rating 1600 vs 1478).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bursaspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.21.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 00.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 4.52 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 04.1 / 0

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sariyer 2110 314
2 Bandirmaspor 1100 303
3 Bursaspor 1100 203
3 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1100 203
3 Kayserispor 1100 203
6 Antalyaspor 1100 433
7 Manisa BBSK 1100 213
8 Esenler Erokspor 2020 112
9 Batman Petrolspor 1010 221
9 Pendikspor 1010 221
11 Mardin 1969 1010 001
11 Umraniyespor 1010 001
13 Sivasspor 1010 001
14 Keciorengucu 1001 340
15 Boluspor 1001 120
16 Bodrum FK 1001 020
16 Fatih Karagumruk 1001 020
16 Muglaspor 1001 020
16 Vanspor FK 1001 020
20 Istanbulspor 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bursaspor

WDWDWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 2-0 32 W
26/07 Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 01 D
25/04 Aliaga Futbol AS
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
2-0 5-0 W
19/04 Somaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 5-1 61 W
12/04 Ankara Demirspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 1-0 W
04/04 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 2-0 68 W
28/03 Fethiyespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 1-1 D
24/03 Guzide Gebzespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 2-0 104 W
14/03 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 0-0 27 D
08/03 Mus Spor FC
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 1-0 W

76 Igdir Belediyespor

LDLLLWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 2-0 33 W
02/05 Amedspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-2 3-3 38 D
26/04 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-2 35 L
19/04 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 53 D
12/04 Adana Demirspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-1 6-1 52 W
08/04 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 26 L
04/04 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-2 22 L
22/03 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-2 51 L
16/03 Bandirmaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 84 D
12/03 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-3 107 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bursaspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bursaspor win (53%). Probabilities: Bursaspor 53%, draw 25%, 76 Igdir Belediyespor 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bursaspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Bursaspor 1.74 · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bursaspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.