Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Kocaelispor vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Team pages: Kocaelispor · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Kocaelispor1.19
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK0.88
1X2
43% 31% 27%
Kocaelispor Draw Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Kocaelispor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLWWWL
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDWLWD
Head-to-head
Kocaelispor 1–3 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK (4 last)
  • Kocaelispor3-0Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
  • Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1-0Kocaelispor
  • Gazisehir Gaziantep FK2-0Kocaelispor
  • Gazisehir Gaziantep FK3-2Kocaelispor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kocaelispor 1489 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1498
KocaelisporDrawGazisehir Gaziantep FK
Our model42%32%26%
Market43%29%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gazisehir Gaziantep FK: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KocaelisporGazisehir Gaziantep FK
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.91.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.92.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.24.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kocaelispor 103 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Kocaelispor3-0
HT 1-0
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
13/01/26
Türkiye Cup
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1-0
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
14/09/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK2-0
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
16/12/20
Türkiye Cup
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK3-2
HT 1-1
Kocaelispor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 5410 13613
2 Besiktas 5401 12412
3 Amedspor 5311 12510
4 Kasimpasa 5230 759
5 Caykur Rizespor 5302 549
5 Kocaelispor 5302 549
7 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 5221 758
8 Alanyaspor 5221 658
9 Trabzonspor 5212 957
10 Corum Belediyespor 5212 12107
11 Fenerbahce 5212 867
12 Genclerbirligi 5212 597
13 Istanbul Basaksehir 5113 6114
13 Samsunspor 5113 6114
15 Erzurumspor FK 5113 2114
16 Konyaspor 5104 483
17 Eyupspor 5104 283
18 Goztepe 5023 9132

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKocaelisporGazisehir Gaziantep FK
Istanbul Basaksehir 0-2 L 1-2 L
Goztepe 1-1 D 4-2 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gazisehir Gaziantep FK (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kocaelispor

DLDLLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 34 L
06/09 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-0 41 W
29/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-1 45 W
24/08 Amedspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 32 W
16/08 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 24 L
17/05 Antalyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 412 L
09/05 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 32 L
03/05 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-1 51 D
26/04 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-1 22 L
18/04 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 1-1 912 D

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

WLLLLDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 67 D
07/09 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
4-0 4-2 36 W
29/08 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 83 L
23/08 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 22 W
15/08 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 1-1 06 D
16/05 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 65 L
09/05 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 1-2 74 L
01/05 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 0-2 81 L
25/04 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-3 54 L
20/04 Kayserispor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kocaelispor vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kocaelispor win (43%). Probabilities: Kocaelispor 43%, draw 31%, Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kocaelispor vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Kocaelispor 1.19 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.