Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor

Team pages: Fenerbahce · Eyupspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Fenerbahce2.53
Eyupspor0.63
1X2
78% 15% 7%
Fenerbahce Draw Eyupspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fenerbahce 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWDLWWLD
Eyupspor 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWDWDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Fenerbahce 2–2–0 Eyupspor (4 last)
  • Fenerbahce3-3Eyupspor
  • Eyupspor0-3Fenerbahce
  • Fenerbahce2-1Eyupspor
  • Eyupspor1-1Fenerbahce
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fenerbahce 1577 · Eyupspor 1478
FenerbahceDrawEyupspor
Our model78%16%6%
Market79%14%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1577 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours Fenerbahce: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FenerbahceEyupspor
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.21.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.22.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 220 Eyupspor

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Fenerbahce3-3
HT 0-2
Eyupspor
20/12/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Eyupspor0-3
HT 0-2
Fenerbahce
18/05/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Fenerbahce2-1
HT 1-0
Eyupspor
20/12/24
Türkiye Super Lig
Eyupspor1-1
HT 1-1
Fenerbahce

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 5410 13613
2 Besiktas 5401 12412
3 Amedspor 5311 12510
4 Kasimpasa 6240 7510
5 Caykur Rizespor 5302 549
5 Kocaelispor 5302 549
7 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 5221 758
8 Alanyaspor 5221 658
9 Trabzonspor 5212 957
10 Corum Belediyespor 5212 12107
11 Fenerbahce 5212 867
12 Genclerbirligi 5212 597
13 Konyaspor 6114 484
14 Istanbul Basaksehir 5113 6114
14 Samsunspor 5113 6114
16 Erzurumspor FK 5113 2114
17 Eyupspor 5104 283
18 Goztepe 5023 9132

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFenerbahceEyupspor
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 0-0 D 0-1 L
Besiktas 1-2 L 0-1 L
Caykur Rizespor 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fenerbahce

DLWWDLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 67 D
05/09 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 27 L
30/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 61 W
22/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-1 4-2 73 W
15/08 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 121 L
17/05 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 3-3 67 D
09/05 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-0 24 W
02/05 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 3-1 104 W
26/04 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 411 L
17/04 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 2-2 78 D

Eyupspor

WWDWDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 84 L
06/09 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 0-3 33 L
30/08 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 14 W
23/08 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 42 L
16/08 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-1 25 L
17/05 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-3 07 D
09/05 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 4-0 30 W
03/05 Kayserispor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 30 D
25/04 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 3-0 64 W
18/04 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye Super Lig
2-1 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fenerbahce win (78%). Probabilities: Fenerbahce 78%, draw 15%, Eyupspor 7%.

How many goals are expected in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Fenerbahce 2.53 · Eyupspor 0.63), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.