Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 14/08, 20:30
Prediction: Esenler Erokspor vs Sariyer
Team pages: Esenler Erokspor · Sariyer
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Esenler Erokspor1.11
Sariyer1.16
1X2
Esenler Erokspor
Draw
Sariyer
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Esenler Erokspor
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sariyer
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Esenler Erokspor
0–1–1
Sariyer
(2 last)
- Sariyer1-0Esenler Erokspor
- Esenler Erokspor1-1Sariyer
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sariyer (rating 1489 vs 1551).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Esenler Erokspor | Sariyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Esenler Erokspor 0–1–1 Sariyer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Türkiye 1 Lig | Sariyer | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Esenler Erokspor |
| 19/12/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Esenler Erokspor | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sariyer |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bandirmaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sariyer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Antalyaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Esenler Erokspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Mardin 1969 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sivasspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Umraniyespor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Batman Petrolspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Keciorengucu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Bodrum FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Fatih Karagumruk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Muglaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vanspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esenler Erokspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 16/03 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
Sariyer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/03 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esenler Erokspor vs Sariyer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sariyer win (36%). Probabilities: Esenler Erokspor 33%, draw 31%, Sariyer 36%.
How many goals are expected in Esenler Erokspor vs Sariyer?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Esenler Erokspor 1.11 · Sariyer 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Esenler Erokspor vs Sariyer?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.