Football · Germany 3. Liga · 08/08, 14:00
Prediction: MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
MSV Duisburg2.6
SV Meppen1.34
1X2
MSV Duisburg
Draw
SV Meppen
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
MSV Duisburg
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
SV Meppen
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MSV Duisburg
3–1–2
SV Meppen
(6 last)
- MSV Duisburg0-0SV Meppen
- SV Meppen0-3MSV Duisburg
- SV Meppen1-2MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg0-1SV Meppen
- SV Meppen2-1MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg1-0SV Meppen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MSV Duisburg 1576 · SV Meppen 1602
| MSV Duisburg | Draw | SV Meppen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours MSV Duisburg: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MSV Duisburg | SV Meppen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.5 / 1.2 | 3.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MSV Duisburg 3–1–2 SV Meppen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/23 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SV Meppen |
| 21/08/22 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 0-3 HT 0-1 | MSV Duisburg |
| 14/03/22 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 02/10/21 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SV Meppen |
| 22/05/21 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 2-1 HT 1-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 17/01/21 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SV Meppen |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ingolstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wurzburger Kickers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Fortuna Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hansa Rostock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Meppen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Waldhof Mannheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wehen SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alemannia Aachen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TSV Havelse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/07 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Bonner SC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | NEC Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Dsc Preussen Duisburg Club Friendly List |
9-0 | 21-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | TUS Viktoria Buchholz Club Friendly List |
7-0 | 21-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
SV Meppen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Schalke II Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sparta Rotterdam Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | TuS Blau-Weiss Lohne Germany Regionalliga North |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North |
4-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MSV Duisburg win (63%). Probabilities: MSV Duisburg 63%, draw 20%, SV Meppen 17%.
How many goals are expected in MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen?
The model expects 3.94 goals (MSV Duisburg 2.6 · SV Meppen 1.34), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.