Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/08, 16:30
Prediction: Verl vs MSV Duisburg
Team pages: Verl · MSV Duisburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Verl1.92
MSV Duisburg2.03
1X2
Verl
Draw
MSV Duisburg
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Verl
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
MSV Duisburg
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verl
2–1–3
MSV Duisburg
(6 last)
- MSV Duisburg4-2Verl
- Verl2-3MSV Duisburg
- Verl1-3MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg2-3Verl
- MSV Duisburg3-3Verl
- Verl1-0MSV Duisburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSV Duisburg (rating 1518 vs 1590).
- H2H favours MSV Duisburg: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Verl | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 5.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verl 2–1–3 MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Verl |
| 30/08/25 Germany 3. Liga | Verl | 2-3 HT 1-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 10/02/24 Germany 3. Liga | Verl | 1-3 HT 1-1 | MSV Duisburg |
| 15/09/23 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Verl |
| 18/03/23 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Verl |
| 18/09/22 Germany 3. Liga | Verl | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MSV Duisburg |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wehen SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | RB Leipzig Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Bremer SV Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wolfsburg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | SC Paderborn 07 II Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | VfB Schloss Holte Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | 1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/07 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Bonner SC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | NEC Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Dsc Preussen Duisburg Club Friendly List |
9-0 | 21-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | TUS Viktoria Buchholz Club Friendly List |
7-0 | 21-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verl vs MSV Duisburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MSV Duisburg win (41%). Probabilities: Verl 37%, draw 22%, MSV Duisburg 41%.
How many goals are expected in Verl vs MSV Duisburg?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Verl 1.92 · MSV Duisburg 2.03), with a 62% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Verl vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.