Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/08, 14:00
Prediction: SC Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen
Team pages: SC Fortuna Köln · Alemannia Aachen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
SC Fortuna Köln1.33
Alemannia Aachen2.01
1X2
SC Fortuna Köln
Draw
Alemannia Aachen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SC Fortuna Köln
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Alemannia Aachen
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Fortuna Köln
3–1–2
Alemannia Aachen
(6 last)
- Alemannia Aachen1-0SC Fortuna Köln
- SC Fortuna Köln0-1Alemannia Aachen
- SC Fortuna Köln1-0Alemannia Aachen
- Alemannia Aachen1-2SC Fortuna Köln
- SC Fortuna Köln4-0Alemannia Aachen
- SC Fortuna Köln0-0Alemannia Aachen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Fortuna Köln 1549 · Alemannia Aachen 1598
| SC Fortuna Köln | Draw | Alemannia Aachen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alemannia Aachen (rating 1549 vs 1598).
- H2H favours SC Fortuna Köln: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Fortuna Köln | Alemannia Aachen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 3.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 7.3 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Fortuna Köln 3–1–2 Alemannia Aachen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/24 Germany Regionalliga West | Alemannia Aachen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SC Fortuna Köln |
| 06/10/23 Germany Regionalliga West | SC Fortuna Köln | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Alemannia Aachen |
| 18/03/23 Germany Regionalliga West | SC Fortuna Köln | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alemannia Aachen |
| 01/10/22 Germany Regionalliga West | Alemannia Aachen | 1-2 HT 0-0 | SC Fortuna Köln |
| 03/05/22 Germany Landespokal | SC Fortuna Köln | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Alemannia Aachen |
| 30/04/22 Germany Regionalliga West | SC Fortuna Köln | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alemannia Aachen |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wehen SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Fortuna Köln
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Kickers Offenbach Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | VVV Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Borussia M'gladbach II Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Eintracht Trier Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | TSV Steinbach Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportfreunde Lotte Germany Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Sportfreunde Siegen Germany Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SC Paderborn 07 II Germany Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | SC Wiedenbruck Germany Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Alemannia Aachen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Eintracht Trier Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Roda JC Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | TUS Lammersdorf 1926 EV Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | RKC Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | FC Germania Teveren Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alemannia Aachen win (52%). Probabilities: SC Fortuna Köln 23%, draw 25%, Alemannia Aachen 52%.
How many goals are expected in SC Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model expects 3.34 goals (SC Fortuna Köln 1.33 · Alemannia Aachen 2.01), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.