Football · Germany 3. Liga · 09/08, 16:30

Prediction: Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Saarbrucken1.74

Rot-Weiss Essen1.38

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Saarbrucken Draw Rot-Weiss Essen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Saarbrucken 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWLLDD

Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Saarbrucken 3–1–2 Rot-Weiss Essen (6 last)

Rot-Weiss Essen1-2Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken2-3Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen0-3Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken1-0Rot-Weiss Essen
Saarbrucken1-1Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen2-1Saarbrucken

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Saarbrucken: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saarbrucken	Rot-Weiss Essen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.6	2.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.69 → 2.69	Pinn 2.69
X	3.71 → 3.71	Pinn 3.71
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +1’	2.69	3.71	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saarbrucken 3–1–2 Rot-Weiss Essen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	1-2 HT 1-2	Saarbrucken
29/11/25 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	2-3 HT 0-0	Rot-Weiss Essen
26/04/25 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	0-3 HT 0-2	Saarbrucken
01/12/24 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	1-0 HT 1-0	Rot-Weiss Essen
24/04/24 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	1-1 HT 0-1	Rot-Weiss Essen
22/10/23 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	2-1 HT 2-1	Saarbrucken

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Saarbrucken	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ingolstadt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Viktoria Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wurzburger Kickers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Fortuna Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hansa Rostock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jahn Regensburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSV Duisburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rot-Weiss Essen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Verl	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Meppen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Waldhof Mannheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wehen SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alemannia Aachen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSV Havelse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VfB Stuttgart II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Saarbrucken

WDLDWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Augsburg Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
18/07	Sandhausen Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/05	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-2	3-4	9	6	L
10/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	6	1	L
02/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
26/04	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/04	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	13	4	D
11/04	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	12	3	L
08/04	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
05/04	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

Rot-Weiss Essen

LLWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Bayer Leverkusen Elite Club Friendlies	0-2	0-3	2	6	L
25/07	Borussia M'gladbach Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
17/07	SV Ried Club Friendly List	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
11/07	Schwarz-Weiß Essen Europe Friendlies	1-0	5-1	6	1	W
26/05	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
22/05	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
16/05	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany 3. Liga	2-2	3-2	12	5	W
09/05	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
02/05	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-6	8	4	L
26/04	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	10	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Saarbrucken win (45%). Probabilities: Saarbrucken 45%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 29%.

How many goals are expected in Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Saarbrucken 1.74 · Rot-Weiss Essen 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.