Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/08, 14:00
Prediction: SC Preussen Munster vs FC Ingolstadt
Team pages: SC Preussen Munster · FC Ingolstadt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
SC Preussen Munster1.78
FC Ingolstadt1.5
1X2
SC Preussen Munster
Draw
FC Ingolstadt
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SC Preussen Munster
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
FC Ingolstadt
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Preussen Munster
1–2–1
FC Ingolstadt
(4 last)
- FC Ingolstadt1-1SC Preussen Munster
- SC Preussen Munster3-1FC Ingolstadt
- SC Preussen Munster0-0FC Ingolstadt
- FC Ingolstadt3-2SC Preussen Munster
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Preussen Munster 1455 · FC Ingolstadt 1531
| SC Preussen Munster | Draw | FC Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ingolstadt (rating 1455 vs 1531).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Preussen Munster | FC Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Preussen Munster 1–2–1 FC Ingolstadt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/24 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SC Preussen Munster |
| 22/08/23 Germany 3. Liga | SC Preussen Munster | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FC Ingolstadt |
| 13/06/20 Germany 3. Liga | SC Preussen Munster | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Ingolstadt |
| 26/10/19 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 3-2 HT 1-2 | SC Preussen Munster |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wehen SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Preussen Munster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Southampton Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Elversberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Schalke Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 05/04 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
FC Ingolstadt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Heidenheim Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | RB Leipzig Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Palermo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | LASK Linz Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | VfB Eichstätt Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | 1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
3-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Preussen Munster vs FC Ingolstadt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Preussen Munster win (42%). Probabilities: SC Preussen Munster 42%, draw 27%, FC Ingolstadt 31%.
How many goals are expected in SC Preussen Munster vs FC Ingolstadt?
The model expects 3.28 goals (SC Preussen Munster 1.78 · FC Ingolstadt 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Preussen Munster vs FC Ingolstadt?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.