Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/08, 14:00
Prediction: SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Team pages: SV Meppen · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
SV Meppen1.54
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.54
1X2
SV Meppen
Draw
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV Meppen
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Meppen
4–1–1
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
(6 last)
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1-2SV Meppen
- SV Meppen2-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- SV Meppen2-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1-0SV Meppen
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-3SV Meppen
- SV Meppen1-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Meppen 1578 · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1541
| SV Meppen | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SV Meppen: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Meppen | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Meppen 4–1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/20 Germany 3. Liga | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1-2 HT 1-0 | SV Meppen |
| 23/11/19 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
| 30/03/19 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
| 20/10/18 Germany 3. Liga | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SV Meppen |
| 29/04/18 Germany 3. Liga | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-3 HT 1-2 | SV Meppen |
| 24/11/17 Germany 3. Liga | SV Meppen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wehen SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Meppen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Schalke II Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sparta Rotterdam Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | TuS Blau-Weiss Lohne Germany Regionalliga North |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | VfR Aalen Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | FSV 08 Bissingen Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Pforzheim Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | SGV Freiberg Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SG Barockstadt Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Bahlinger SC Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Meppen win (36%). Probabilities: SV Meppen 36%, draw 27%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 36%.
How many goals are expected in SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The model expects 3.07 goals (SV Meppen 1.54 · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1.54), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.