Football · Germany 3. Liga · 04/09, 19:00
Prediction: FC Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen
Team pages: FC Ingolstadt · Alemannia Aachen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
FC Ingolstadt1.62
Alemannia Aachen1.58
1X2
FC Ingolstadt
Draw
Alemannia Aachen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Ingolstadt
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Alemannia Aachen
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Ingolstadt
1–1–2
Alemannia Aachen
(4 last)
- FC Ingolstadt1-2Alemannia Aachen
- Alemannia Aachen0-1FC Ingolstadt
- FC Ingolstadt0-3Alemannia Aachen
- Alemannia Aachen1-1FC Ingolstadt
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alemannia Aachen (rating 1533 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Alemannia Aachen: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ingolstadt | Alemannia Aachen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ingolstadt 1–1–2 Alemannia Aachen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Alemannia Aachen |
| 18/10/25 Germany 3. Liga | Alemannia Aachen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Ingolstadt |
| 11/03/25 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Alemannia Aachen |
| 05/10/24 Germany 3. Liga | Alemannia Aachen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Ingolstadt |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | SV Meppen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Ingolstadt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | SC Preussen Munster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Wurzburger Kickers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | SC Fortuna Köln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Wehen SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Verl | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Ingolstadt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | 1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
3-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/04 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Alemannia Aachen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/04 | Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ingolstadt win (38%). Probabilities: FC Ingolstadt 38%, draw 26%, Alemannia Aachen 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model expects 3.2 goals (FC Ingolstadt 1.62 · Alemannia Aachen 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.