Football · Germany 3. Liga · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg
Team pages: Jahn Regensburg · MSV Duisburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
Jahn Regensburg1.88
MSV Duisburg2.16
1X2
Jahn Regensburg
Draw
MSV Duisburg
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Jahn Regensburg
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
MSV Duisburg
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jahn Regensburg
3–1–2
MSV Duisburg
(6 last)
- MSV Duisburg2-0Jahn Regensburg
- Jahn Regensburg0-4MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg0-1Jahn Regensburg
- Jahn Regensburg2-1MSV Duisburg
- Jahn Regensburg1-1MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg1-3Jahn Regensburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSV Duisburg (rating 1508 vs 1605).
- H2H favours Jahn Regensburg: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jahn Regensburg | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jahn Regensburg 3–1–2 MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Jahn Regensburg |
| 10/08/25 Germany 3. Liga | Jahn Regensburg | 0-4 HT 0-2 | MSV Duisburg |
| 04/02/24 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jahn Regensburg |
| 03/09/23 Germany 3. Liga | Jahn Regensburg | 2-1 HT 1-1 | MSV Duisburg |
| 09/03/19 Germany Bundesliga II | Jahn Regensburg | 1-1 HT 1-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 29/09/18 Germany Bundesliga II | MSV Duisburg | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Jahn Regensburg |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | SV Meppen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Ingolstadt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | SC Preussen Munster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Wurzburger Kickers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | SC Fortuna Köln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Wehen SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Verl | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jahn Regensburg | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1-5 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Cottbus | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: MSV Duisburg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jahn Regensburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | 1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MSV Duisburg win (44%). Probabilities: Jahn Regensburg 34%, draw 22%, MSV Duisburg 44%.
How many goals are expected in Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
The model expects 4.03 goals (Jahn Regensburg 1.88 · MSV Duisburg 2.16), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.