Football · Germany 3. Liga · 12/09, 16:30

Prediction: Alemannia Aachen vs Jahn Regensburg

Team pages: Alemannia Aachen · Jahn Regensburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Alemannia Aachen2.27

Jahn Regensburg1.3

1X2

58% 21% 20%

Alemannia Aachen Draw Jahn Regensburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Alemannia Aachen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Jahn Regensburg 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Jahn Regensburg (2 last)

Jahn Regensburg1-3Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen0-2Jahn Regensburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alemannia Aachen (rating 1590 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alemannia Aachen	Jahn Regensburg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.69▲	Pinn 1.69
X	4.38 → 4.17▼	Pinn 4.17
2	4.63 → 4.17▼	Pinn 4.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +26’	1.59	4.38	4.63
13:16 +32’	1.69▲	4.17▼	4.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alemannia Aachen 1–0–1 Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	1-3 HT 1-0	Alemannia Aachen
22/11/25 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	0-2 HT 0-1	Jahn Regensburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	4	4	0	0	12	3	12
2	Saarbrucken	4	3	0	1	14	7	9
3	Hansa Rostock	4	2	2	0	11	8	8
4	Alemannia Aachen	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
5	SC Preussen Munster	4	2	1	1	7	7	7
6	Rot-Weiss Essen	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
7	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	4	2	0	2	9	5	6
8	FC Viktoria Köln	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
9	VfB Stuttgart II	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	4	2	0	2	2	4	6
11	SV Meppen	4	2	0	2	6	9	6
12	FC Ingolstadt	4	1	2	1	5	6	5
13	Wurzburger Kickers	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
14	SC Fortuna Köln	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
15	Waldhof Mannheim	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
16	TSV Havelse	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
18	Jahn Regensburg	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
19	Verl	4	1	0	3	5	10	3
20	Wehen SV	4	0	2	2	2	8	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alemannia Aachen	Jahn Regensburg
FC Viktoria Köln	3-0 W	5-2 W
Hansa Rostock	1-1 D	5-2 W
MSV Duisburg	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alemannia Aachen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
29/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/08	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-1	1	2	W
16/05	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-0	6-1	7	4	W
10/05	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/05	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
24/04	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
17/04	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
11/04	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	5	W

Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
29/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W
16/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
02/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
25/04	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	3-0	5-2	4	7	W
17/04	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
12/04	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alemannia Aachen vs Jahn Regensburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alemannia Aachen win (58%). Probabilities: Alemannia Aachen 58%, draw 21%, Jahn Regensburg 20%.

How many goals are expected in Alemannia Aachen vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Alemannia Aachen 2.27 · Jahn Regensburg 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Alemannia Aachen vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.