Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: MSV Duisburg vs TSV Havelse
Team pages: MSV Duisburg · TSV Havelse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
MSV Duisburg2.36
TSV Havelse1.26
1X2
MSV Duisburg
Draw
TSV Havelse
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MSV Duisburg
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
TSV Havelse
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MSV Duisburg
2–2–0
TSV Havelse
(4 last)
- MSV Duisburg1-1TSV Havelse
- TSV Havelse1-1MSV Duisburg
- TSV Havelse0-1MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg3-0TSV Havelse
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSV Duisburg (rating 1560 vs 1450).
- H2H favours MSV Duisburg: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MSV Duisburg | TSV Havelse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.5 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MSV Duisburg 2–2–0 TSV Havelse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | TSV Havelse |
| 21/09/25 Germany 3. Liga | TSV Havelse | 1-1 HT 0-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 14/01/22 Germany 3. Liga | TSV Havelse | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 08/08/21 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 3-0 HT 1-0 | TSV Havelse |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Viktoria Köln | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Ingolstadt | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 8 | SC Preussen Munster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Verl | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | SV Meppen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Waldhof Mannheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 18 | Jahn Regensburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Wurzburger Kickers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Wehen SV | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MSV Duisburg | TSV Havelse |
|---|---|---|
| Verl | 4-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: MSV Duisburg (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
TSV Havelse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Schweinfurt 05 Germany 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | SSV Ulm 1846 Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MSV Duisburg vs TSV Havelse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MSV Duisburg win (61%). Probabilities: MSV Duisburg 61%, draw 21%, TSV Havelse 18%.
How many goals are expected in MSV Duisburg vs TSV Havelse?
The model expects 3.63 goals (MSV Duisburg 2.36 · TSV Havelse 1.26), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in MSV Duisburg vs TSV Havelse?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.