Football · Germany 3. Liga · 20/09, 19:30
Prediction: Wehen SV vs MSV Duisburg
Team pages: Wehen SV · MSV Duisburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Wehen SV1.45
MSV Duisburg1.7
1X2
Wehen SV
Draw
MSV Duisburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Wehen SV
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
MSV Duisburg
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wehen SV
2–1–3
MSV Duisburg
(6 last)
- Wehen SV6-1MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg3-1Wehen SV
- MSV Duisburg1-1Wehen SV
- Wehen SV1-3MSV Duisburg
- Wehen SV0-1MSV Duisburg
- MSV Duisburg0-2Wehen SV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wehen SV 1472 · MSV Duisburg 1530
| Wehen SV | Draw | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSV Duisburg (rating 1472 vs 1530).
- H2H favours MSV Duisburg: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wehen SV | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.4 | 3.1 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wehen SV 2–1–3 MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 6-1 HT 3-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 13/09/25 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Wehen SV |
| 22/04/23 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wehen SV |
| 28/10/22 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 1-3 HT 0-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 29/01/22 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| 25/08/21 Germany 3. Liga | MSV Duisburg | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Wehen SV |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 13 |
| 4 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | SC Preussen Munster | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Ingolstadt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Waldhof Mannheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Wurzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | SC Fortuna Köln | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 18 | Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 5 |
| 19 | Wehen SV | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 20 | TSV Havelse | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wehen SV | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wurzburger Kickers | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Cottbus | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: MSV Duisburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wehen SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | D |
MSV Duisburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wehen SV vs MSV Duisburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MSV Duisburg win (42%). Probabilities: Wehen SV 32%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 42%.
How many goals are expected in Wehen SV vs MSV Duisburg?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Wehen SV 1.45 · MSV Duisburg 1.7), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wehen SV vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.