Football · Chile Tercera · 11/07, 01:30

Prediction: CD Imperial Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido

Expected goals: 3.16 (CD Imperial Unido 1.63 · CD Constitucion Unido 1.53). The model gives 39% home, 26% draw, 35% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves CD Imperial Unido with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; CD Constitucion Unido has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for CD Imperial Unido and 0 for CD Constitucion Unido.

39%1
39% 26% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Imperial Unido 1476 · CD Constitucion Unido 1516
CD Imperial UnidoDrawCD Constitucion Unido
Our model39%26%35%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.16CD Imperial Unido 1.63 · CD Constitucion Unido 1.53
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Constitucion Unido (rating 1476 vs 1516).
  • H2H favours CD Imperial Unido: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Imperial UnidoCD Constitucion Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.92 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.41.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.86.5 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Imperial Unido 300 CD Constitucion Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido0-1
HT 0-0
CD Imperial Unido
06/09/25
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido1-4
HT 0-1
CD Imperial Unido
24/05/25
Chile Tercera
CD Imperial Unido2-0
HT 1-0
CD Constitucion Unido

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Imperial UnidoCD Constitucion Unido
Puente Alto 0-1 L 3-2 W
Chimbarongo FC 0-3 L 2-1 W
Malleco Unido 2-3 L 3-2 W
Rodelindo Roman 2-1 W 1-1 D
Atletico Oriente 3-1 W 5-0 W
Comunal Cabrero 4-1 W 0-1 L
Club Aguara 1-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Constitucion Unido (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Imperial Unido

LWWWDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 84 L
27/06 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 68 L
21/06 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-3 1-3 78 L
13/06 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-3 910 L
07/06 Malleco Unido
Chile Segunda
0-1 2-3 57 L
31/05 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 63 D
23/05 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-1 06 W
01/05 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
0-0 3-1 56 W
26/04 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
3-1 4-1 28 W
18/04 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-2 1-3 67 L

CD Constitucion Unido

WLWWWLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 15 D
20/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-2 46 D
13/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 5-0 38 W
06/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 89 L
16/05 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-2 24 W
25/04 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 310 W
19/04 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 3-2 210 W
11/04 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 96 L
08/11 CD Quillon
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-1 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Imperial Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Imperial Unido win (39%). Probabilities: CD Imperial Unido 39%, draw 26%, CD Constitucion Unido 35%.

How many goals are expected in CD Imperial Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model expects 3.16 goals (CD Imperial Unido 1.63 · CD Constitucion Unido 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Imperial Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.