Football · Chile Tercera · 04/07, 18:00

Prediction: Lautaro de Buin vs Comunal Cabrero

Expected goals: 2.94 (Lautaro de Buin 1.6 · Comunal Cabrero 1.34). The model gives 42% home, 27% draw, 31% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Lautaro de Buin is 4-2-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Comunal Cabrero 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Lautaro de Buin and 0 for Comunal Cabrero.

42%1
42% 27% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lautaro de Buin 1520 · Comunal Cabrero 1466
Lautaro de BuinDrawComunal Cabrero
Our model43%27%31%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.94Lautaro de Buin 1.6 · Comunal Cabrero 1.34
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro de Buin (rating 1520 vs 1466).
  • H2H favours Lautaro de Buin: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lautaro de BuinComunal Cabrero
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.20.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.82.7 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 0.35.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lautaro de Buin 200 Comunal Cabrero

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/25
Chile Tercera
Comunal Cabrero1-2
HT 0-1
Lautaro de Buin
26/04/25
Chile Tercera
Lautaro de Buin1-0
HT 1-0
Comunal Cabrero

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLautaro de BuinComunal Cabrero
Club Aguara 1-1 D 1-0 W
CD Constitucion Unido 2-2 D 1-0 W
Puente Alto 3-1 W 1-1 D
Quintero Unido 1-0 W 1-4 L
Futuro FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lautaro de Buin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lautaro de Buin

LLLWWWLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 56 D
20/06 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-2 46 D
13/06 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-1 3-1 610 W
06/06 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-2 143 L
30/05 Naval
Chile Tercera
2-1 2-1 67 W
25/04 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 410 W
19/04 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-0 710 W
11/04 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-5 54 L
01/11 AC Colina
Chile Tercera
0-2 0-6 51 L
25/10 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-4 28 L

Comunal Cabrero

LDLLLLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 56 W
13/06 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 46 W
06/06 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 86 W
30/05 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 82 D
03/05 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 98 L
26/04 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-3 1-4 78 L
18/04 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 124 L
12/04 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-4 1-4 57 L
07/03 Lota Schwager
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-0 58 D
30/11 Colchagua CD
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-4 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lautaro de Buin vs Comunal Cabrero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lautaro de Buin win (42%). Probabilities: Lautaro de Buin 42%, draw 27%, Comunal Cabrero 31%.

How many goals are expected in Lautaro de Buin vs Comunal Cabrero?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Lautaro de Buin 1.6 · Comunal Cabrero 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lautaro de Buin vs Comunal Cabrero?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.