Prediction: Quintero Unido vs Club Aguara
Expected goals: 2.78 (Quintero Unido 1.69 · Club Aguara 1.08). The model gives 51% home, 26% draw, 24% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Quintero Unido with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Club Aguara has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Quintero Unido and 1 for Club Aguara.
| Quintero Unido | Draw | Club Aguara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quintero Unido | Club Aguara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.6 | 6.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quintero Unido 1–0–1 Club Aguara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Chile Tercera | Club Aguara | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Quintero Unido |
| 27/04/25 Chile Tercera | Quintero Unido | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Club Aguara |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Quintero Unido | Club Aguara |
|---|---|---|
| Chimbarongo FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lautaro de Buin | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Oriente | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Comunal Cabrero | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quintero Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Puente Alto Chile Tercera |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Deportes Rancagua Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Naval Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 13 | L |
| 25/04 | Lautaro de Buin Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 19/04 | Atletico Oriente Chile Tercera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/11 | Deportes Laja Historico Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 08/11 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Colchagua CD Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Club Aguara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Lautaro de Buin Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Atletico Oriente Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Futuro FC Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | CD Constitucion Unido Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 24/04 | Malleco Unido Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | CD Imperial Unido Chile Tercera |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Rodelindo Roman Chile Tercera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 08/11 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quintero Unido vs Club Aguara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quintero Unido win (51%). Probabilities: Quintero Unido 51%, draw 26%, Club Aguara 24%.
How many goals are expected in Quintero Unido vs Club Aguara?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Quintero Unido 1.69 · Club Aguara 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Quintero Unido vs Club Aguara?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.