Football · Germany 3. Liga · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Wehen SV vs SC Preussen Munster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Wehen SV1.62

SC Preussen Munster1.49

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Wehen SV Draw SC Preussen Munster

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wehen SV 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWWWLW

SC Preussen Munster 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Wehen SV 3–1–2 SC Preussen Munster (6 last)

Wehen SV2-0SC Preussen Munster
SC Preussen Munster3-0Wehen SV
SC Preussen Munster1-0Wehen SV
Wehen SV6-2SC Preussen Munster
Wehen SV1-0SC Preussen Munster
SC Preussen Munster2-2Wehen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wehen SV 1495 · SC Preussen Munster 1423

	Wehen SV	Draw	SC Preussen Munster
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wehen SV (rating 1495 vs 1423).
H2H favours Wehen SV: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wehen SV	SC Preussen Munster
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.2	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.68 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +1’	2.66	3.39	2.47
17:27 +3’	2.68▲	3.43▲	2.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wehen SV 3–1–2 SC Preussen Munster

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/19 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	2-0 HT 1-0	SC Preussen Munster
28/09/18 Germany 3. Liga	SC Preussen Munster	3-0 HT 1-0	Wehen SV
07/04/18 Germany 3. Liga	SC Preussen Munster	1-0 HT 1-0	Wehen SV
29/10/17 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	6-2 HT 4-1	SC Preussen Munster
02/04/17 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Preussen Munster
15/10/16 Germany 3. Liga	SC Preussen Munster	2-2 HT 0-1	Wehen SV

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Saarbrucken	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ingolstadt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Viktoria Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wurzburger Kickers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Fortuna Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hansa Rostock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jahn Regensburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSV Duisburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rot-Weiss Essen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Verl	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Meppen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Waldhof Mannheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wehen SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alemannia Aachen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSV Havelse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VfB Stuttgart II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wehen SV

LDDLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bayern Munich Elite Club Friendlies	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
18/07	FC Liefering Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
14/07	Fagiano Okayama World Club Friendlies	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
09/07	FC 08 Homburg Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
09/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
03/05	VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	3	3	L
25/04	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	14	3	D
19/04	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-3	8	5	D
11/04	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	5	9	L

SC Preussen Munster

LLDDLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Southampton Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
17/05	Elversberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
10/05	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
03/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	3-3	6	6	D
25/04	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	1-3	2-3	7	3	L
19/04	Schalke Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-4	2	3	L
11/04	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
05/04	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
22/03	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
15/03	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-3	0-6	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wehen SV vs SC Preussen Munster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wehen SV win (40%). Probabilities: Wehen SV 40%, draw 26%, SC Preussen Munster 34%.

How many goals are expected in Wehen SV vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Wehen SV 1.62 · SC Preussen Munster 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wehen SV vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.