Football · Germany 3. Liga · 14/08, 19:00
Prediction: Wurzburger Kickers vs Wehen SV
Team pages: Wurzburger Kickers · Wehen SV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Wurzburger Kickers1.76
Wehen SV1.69
1X2
Wurzburger Kickers
Draw
Wehen SV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wurzburger Kickers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Wehen SV
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wurzburger Kickers
5–1
Wehen SV
(6 last)
- Wehen SV0-1Wurzburger Kickers
- Wurzburger Kickers0-4Wehen SV
- Wehen SV2-4Wurzburger Kickers
- Wehen SV0-2Wurzburger Kickers
- Wurzburger Kickers3-1Wehen SV
- Wehen SV0-2Wurzburger Kickers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wurzburger Kickers 1582 · Wehen SV 1471
| Wurzburger Kickers | Draw | Wehen SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wurzburger Kickers (rating 1582 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Wurzburger Kickers: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wurzburger Kickers | Wehen SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wurzburger Kickers 5–0–1 Wehen SV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/22 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 25/09/21 Germany 3. Liga | Wurzburger Kickers | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Wehen SV |
| 12/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Wehen SV | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 24/02/19 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 01/09/18 Germany 3. Liga | Wurzburger Kickers | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Wehen SV |
| 31/03/18 Germany 3. Liga | Wehen SV | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wurzburger Kickers |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Fortuna Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wehen SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wurzburger Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | VfR Aalen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Greuther Furth II Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Wehen SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Bayern Munich Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Liefering Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Fagiano Okayama World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | FC 08 Homburg Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wurzburger Kickers vs Wehen SV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wurzburger Kickers win (38%). Probabilities: Wurzburger Kickers 38%, draw 27%, Wehen SV 35%.
How many goals are expected in Wurzburger Kickers vs Wehen SV?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Wurzburger Kickers 1.76 · Wehen SV 1.69), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wurzburger Kickers vs Wehen SV?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.