Football · Germany 3. Liga · 29/08, 16:30

Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg

Team pages: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II · Jahn Regensburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1.6

Jahn Regensburg1.56

1X2

38% 26% 36%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Draw Jahn Regensburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWLLW

Jahn Regensburg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLWL

Head-to-head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1–1 Jahn Regensburg (2 last)

Jahn Regensburg2-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1-0Jahn Regensburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jahn Regensburg (rating 1474 vs 1522).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	Jahn Regensburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.75
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49	2.75	3.72	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1–0–1 Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	2-1 HT 1-0	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
06/12/25 Germany 3. Liga	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	1-0 HT 0-0	Jahn Regensburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
2	Saarbrucken	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Wurzburger Kickers	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
4	Alemannia Aachen	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
5	SC Preussen Munster	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
6	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	6	5	4
7	Waldhof Mannheim	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
8	Jahn Regensburg	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FC Viktoria Köln	2	1	0	1	5	6	3
11	VfB Stuttgart II	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
12	SV Meppen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
14	Rot-Weiss Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
15	FC Ingolstadt	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
16	SC Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	TSV Havelse	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
19	Verl	2	0	0	2	3	8	0
20	Wehen SV	2	0	0	2	1	7	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	Jahn Regensburg
Hansa Rostock	2-3 L	5-2 W
Saarbrucken	3-2 W	0-1 L
Waldhof Mannheim	1-1 D	0-1 L
Erzgebirge Aue	5-3 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

WDDLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
09/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
16/05	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/05	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	4	1	W
02/05	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
25/04	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
18/04	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
10/04	Schweinfurt 05 Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
07/04	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
04/04	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	4-1	5-3	3	4	W

Jahn Regensburg

LWDLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W
16/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
02/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
25/04	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	3-0	5-2	4	7	W
17/04	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
12/04	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
07/04	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
04/04	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II win (38%). Probabilities: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 38%, draw 26%, Jahn Regensburg 36%.

How many goals are expected in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model expects 3.16 goals (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1.6 · Jahn Regensburg 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.