Football · Germany 3. Liga · 14/10, 19:00

Prediction: Verl vs Jahn Regensburg

Team pages: Verl · Jahn Regensburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Verl1.96

Jahn Regensburg1.53

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Verl Draw Jahn Regensburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Verl 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Jahn Regensburg 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Verl 0–1–3 Jahn Regensburg (4 last)

Verl1-2Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg2-0Verl
Jahn Regensburg1-1Verl
Verl1-2Jahn Regensburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jahn Regensburg: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Verl	Jahn Regensburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.1	2.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.05
X	3.98 → 4.03▲	Pinn 4.03
2	2.98 → 3.01▲	Pinn 3.01

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +30’	2.03	3.98	2.98
20:43 +31’	2.05▲	4.03▲	3.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Verl 0–1–3 Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 Germany 3. Liga	Verl	1-2 HT 0-2	Jahn Regensburg
28/09/25 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	2-0 HT 0-0	Verl
20/01/24 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	1-1 HT 1-1	Verl
20/08/23 Germany 3. Liga	Verl	1-2 HT 0-1	Jahn Regensburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22	9	21
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	8	4	3	1	16	12	15
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17	15	15
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19	12	14
6	Waldhof Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
6	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
8	SC Preussen Munster	8	3	3	2	15	16	12
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
10	SC Fortuna Köln	8	2	4	2	8	8	10
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
13	Jahn Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18	17	8
14	VfB Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13	16	8
15	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	8	2	1	5	11	17	7
18	SV Meppen	8	2	1	5	9	16	7
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	8	1	1	6	10	20	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Verl	Jahn Regensburg
Waldhof Mannheim	1-0 W	0-1 L
MSV Duisburg	2-4 L	1-2 L
Alemannia Aachen	1-4 L	2-2 D
TSV Havelse	4-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jahn Regensburg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Verl

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
15/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
05/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
15/08	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-4	4	5	L
09/08	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-4	1	2	L
16/05	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
09/05	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
02/05	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	3	W

Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	3	3	W
19/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	3-2	3-3	4	5	D
15/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
05/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
29/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W
16/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Verl vs Jahn Regensburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Verl win (47%). Probabilities: Verl 47%, draw 24%, Jahn Regensburg 29%.

How many goals are expected in Verl vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Verl 1.96 · Jahn Regensburg 1.53), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Verl vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.