Football · Austria Landesliga · 09/10, 18:00

Prediction: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs First Vienna II

Team pages: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf · First Vienna II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.58

First Vienna II1.85

1X2

32% 24% 44%

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Draw First Vienna II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLDD

First Vienna II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 0–1–1 First Vienna II (2 last)

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf0-0First Vienna II
First Vienna II6-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1415 · First Vienna II 1469

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	Draw	First Vienna II
Our model	32%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours First Vienna II (rating 1415 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	First Vienna II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.8	1.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.9	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.80

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:51 +3’	2.75	3.80	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 0–1–1 First Vienna II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0-0 HT 0-0	First Vienna II
30/08/25 Austria Landesliga	First Vienna II	6-1 HT 2-1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	7	6	1	0	19	2	19
2	Red Star Penzing	7	6	1	0	17	5	19
3	LAC Inter	7	5	0	2	16	12	15
4	TWL Elektra	7	5	0	2	13	9	15
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	7	4	1	2	12	8	13
6	SV Schwechat	7	4	0	3	14	10	12
7	Helfort 15	6	2	2	2	12	7	8
8	Slovan HAC	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
9	First Vienna II	7	2	1	4	14	18	7
10	FC 1980 Wien	7	2	1	4	7	17	7
11	FV Austria XIII	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
12	WAF Brigittenau	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
13	Post SV	7	1	2	4	13	10	5
14	Hellas Kagran	7	1	2	4	10	16	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	6	1	2	3	8	15	5
16	Simmeringer SC	7	1	0	6	3	20	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	First Vienna II
Sportunion Mauer	0-2 L	0-4 L
Hellas Kagran	2-4 L	3-3 D
SV Schwechat	1-5 L	5-2 W
Post SV	2-1 W	3-2 W
Floridsdorfer AC II	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: First Vienna II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	2	L
29/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	4	0	L
16/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-3	6	1	L

First Vienna II

LLWLLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-3	2	4	D
26/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
18/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
06/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-4	5	2	L
28/08	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
12/06	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
06/06	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs First Vienna II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an First Vienna II win (44%). Probabilities: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 32%, draw 24%, First Vienna II 44%.

How many goals are expected in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs First Vienna II?

The model expects 3.43 goals (SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.58 · First Vienna II 1.85), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs First Vienna II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.