Football · Austria Landesliga · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Launsdorf vs KAC 1909

Team pages: Launsdorf · KAC 1909

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Launsdorf1.96

KAC 19091.63

1X2

46% 22% 32%

Launsdorf Draw KAC 1909

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Launsdorf 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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KAC 1909 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Launsdorf 1531 · KAC 1909 1522

	Launsdorf	Draw	KAC 1909
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	46%	21%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Launsdorf	KAC 1909
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.8	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +9’	1.95	4.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
6	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
7	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
8	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
9	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
10	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
11	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
12	WAF Brigittenau	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	8	1	3	4	10	20	6
15	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Launsdorf	KAC 1909
SC Landskron	2-3 L	1-2 L
TSU Matrei	0-0 D	2-3 L
SV Spittal/Drau	0-3 L	2-2 D
Sirnitz	4-1 W	2-3 L
ATUS Ferlach	2-1 W	1-0 W
SV Dellach/Gail	3-2 W	4-0 W
ASKO Kottmannsdorf	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Launsdorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
03/10	SV Seeboden Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
20/09	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
13/09	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/09	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
30/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
21/08	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
14/08	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-1	–	–	W

KAC 1909

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/09	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
19/09	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-3	–	–	L
11/09	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	1	5	W
28/08	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-0	4-0	5	2	W
22/08	St.Michael/Lavanttal Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Launsdorf vs KAC 1909?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Launsdorf win (46%). Probabilities: Launsdorf 46%, draw 22%, KAC 1909 32%.

How many goals are expected in Launsdorf vs KAC 1909?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Launsdorf 1.96 · KAC 1909 1.63), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Launsdorf vs KAC 1909?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.