Football · Austria Landesliga · 18/10, 11:00

Prediction: Wiener Neustadt vs SC Retz

Team pages: Wiener Neustadt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Wiener Neustadt1.73

SC Retz1.28

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Wiener Neustadt Draw SC Retz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wiener Neustadt 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWW

SC Retz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Wiener Neustadt 1–0 SC Retz (1 last)

Wiener Neustadt4-0SC Retz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wiener Neustadt 1588 · SC Retz 1533

	Wiener Neustadt	Draw	SC Retz
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wiener Neustadt (rating 1588 vs 1533).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wiener Neustadt	SC Retz
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.6	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.8	– / –

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +11’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wiener Neustadt 1–0–0 SC Retz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/08/23 Austria Landesliga	Wiener Neustadt	4-0 HT 1-0	SC Retz

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
6	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
7	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
8	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
9	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
10	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
11	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
12	WAF Brigittenau	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	8	1	3	4	10	20	6
15	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wiener Neustadt	SC Retz
Admira Wacker Modling II	2-0 W	2-1 W
SK Korneuburg	0-0 D	0-1 L
SC Ortmann	2-0 W	3-1 W
ASK Ebreichsdorf	1-1 D	2-4 L
St Polten II	2-0 W	3-1 W
ASK Ybbs	2-0 W	0-1 L
ASV Hohenau	3-1 W	3-1 W
SG Ardagger/Neustadtl	3-1 W	3-1 W
Langenrohr	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wiener Neustadt (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wiener Neustadt

LWWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SKU Amstetten II Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
02/10	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
26/09	SK Korneuburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	SC Ortmann Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	ASK Ebreichsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
05/09	St Polten II Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	ASK Ybbs Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	ASV Hohenau Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-1	3	9	W
14/08	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	7	2	L

SC Retz

DWWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
02/10	SK Korneuburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	SC Ortmann Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
18/09	ASK Ebreichsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	St Polten II Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	ASK Ybbs Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	ASV Hohenau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
21/08	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
07/08	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wiener Neustadt vs SC Retz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wiener Neustadt win (48%). Probabilities: Wiener Neustadt 48%, draw 24%, SC Retz 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wiener Neustadt vs SC Retz?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Wiener Neustadt 1.73 · SC Retz 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wiener Neustadt vs SC Retz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.