Football · Austria Landesliga · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Floridsdorfer AC II vs Red Star Penzing

Team pages: Floridsdorfer AC II · Red Star Penzing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Floridsdorfer AC II1.35

Red Star Penzing1.67

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Floridsdorfer AC II Draw Red Star Penzing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Floridsdorfer AC II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWLLWW

Red Star Penzing 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Floridsdorfer AC II 0–1–1 Red Star Penzing (2 last)

Floridsdorfer AC II1-2Red Star Penzing
Red Star Penzing0-0Floridsdorfer AC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floridsdorfer AC II 1514 · Red Star Penzing 1609

	Floridsdorfer AC II	Draw	Red Star Penzing
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Red Star Penzing (rating 1514 vs 1609).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Floridsdorfer AC II	Red Star Penzing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:16 +3’	2.88	3.80	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Floridsdorfer AC II 0–1–1 Red Star Penzing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Austria Landesliga	Floridsdorfer AC II	1-2 HT 1-1	Red Star Penzing
24/10/25 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	0-0 HT 0-0	Floridsdorfer AC II

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	7	6	1	0	17	5	19
3	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
4	LAC Inter	7	5	0	2	16	12	15
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	7	4	1	2	12	8	13
6	SV Schwechat	7	4	0	3	14	10	12
7	Helfort 15	7	3	2	2	13	7	11
8	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
9	Slovan HAC	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
10	WAF Brigittenau	7	2	1	4	8	14	7
11	FC 1980 Wien	7	2	1	4	7	17	7
12	FV Austria XIII	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
13	Post SV	7	1	2	4	13	10	5
14	Hellas Kagran	7	1	2	4	10	16	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	7	1	2	4	9	19	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Floridsdorfer AC II	Red Star Penzing
FV Austria XIII	2-1 W	4-3 W
TWL Elektra	2-1 W	3-0 W
Helfort 15	0-1 L	1-1 D
LAC Inter	2-3 L	5-2 W
Simmeringer SC	3-0 W	3-0 W
Slovan HAC	1-1 D	1-0 W
First Vienna II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Red Star Penzing (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floridsdorfer AC II

WDLWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
25/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	1	4	W
20/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
12/09	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
29/08	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	9	1	W
12/06	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
05/06	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
29/05	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-3	–	–	W

Red Star Penzing

WWLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
18/09	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-2	–	–	W
11/09	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/09	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
28/08	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/06	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
06/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
29/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Red Star Penzing?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Red Star Penzing win (44%). Probabilities: Floridsdorfer AC II 31%, draw 25%, Red Star Penzing 44%.

How many goals are expected in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Red Star Penzing?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Floridsdorfer AC II 1.35 · Red Star Penzing 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Red Star Penzing?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.