Football · Austria Landesliga · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: Red Star Penzing vs FV Austria XIII

Team pages: Red Star Penzing · FV Austria XIII

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Red Star Penzing2.13

FV Austria XIII1.47

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Red Star Penzing Draw FV Austria XIII

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Red Star Penzing 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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FV Austria XIII 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDDWLDLD

Head-to-head

Red Star Penzing 5–1–0 FV Austria XIII (6 last)

FV Austria XIII3-4Red Star Penzing
Red Star Penzing2-0FV Austria XIII
FV Austria XIII0-0Red Star Penzing
Red Star Penzing3-1FV Austria XIII
Red Star Penzing2-1FV Austria XIII
FV Austria XIII1-4Red Star Penzing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Red Star Penzing 1580 · FV Austria XIII 1469

	Red Star Penzing	Draw	FV Austria XIII
Our model	52%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Red Star Penzing (rating 1580 vs 1469).
H2H favours Red Star Penzing: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Red Star Penzing	FV Austria XIII
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.68 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:00 +6’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:12 +52’	1.68	3.87	3.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Star Penzing 5–1–0 FV Austria XIII

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Austria Landesliga	FV Austria XIII	3-4 HT 2-2	Red Star Penzing
07/11/25 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	2-0 HT 1-0	FV Austria XIII
31/05/25 Austria Landesliga	FV Austria XIII	0-0 HT 0-0	Red Star Penzing
08/11/24 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	3-1 HT 2-0	FV Austria XIII
15/09/23 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	2-1 HT 1-0	FV Austria XIII
02/06/21 Europe Friendlies	FV Austria XIII	1-4 HT 1-1	Red Star Penzing

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	8	6	1	1	18	10	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
5	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
6	Helfort 15	8	4	2	2	14	7	14
7	SV Schwechat	8	4	0	4	14	12	12
8	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
9	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
10	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
11	WAF Brigittenau	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
12	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
13	FV Austria XIII	8	1	4	3	11	13	7
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	8	1	3	4	10	20	6
15	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Red Star Penzing	FV Austria XIII
Floridsdorfer AC II	1-5 L	1-2 L
TWL Elektra	3-0 W	1-2 L
Helfort 15	1-1 D	2-2 D
LAC Inter	5-2 W	1-3 L
Simmeringer SC	3-0 W	4-2 W
FC 1980 Wien	3-2 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Red Star Penzing (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Red Star Penzing

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-5	2	4	L
02/10	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
18/09	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-2	–	–	W
11/09	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/09	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
28/08	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/06	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
06/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W

FV Austria XIII

LWLDDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-3	6	4	D
03/10	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
26/09	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-2	5	4	W
06/06	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Red Star Penzing vs FV Austria XIII?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Star Penzing win (52%). Probabilities: Red Star Penzing 52%, draw 22%, FV Austria XIII 26%.

How many goals are expected in Red Star Penzing vs FV Austria XIII?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Red Star Penzing 2.13 · FV Austria XIII 1.47), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Red Star Penzing vs FV Austria XIII?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.