Football · Austria Landesliga · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ybbs

Team pages: ASK Ybbs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

ASV Hohenau1.59

ASK Ybbs1.28

1X2

44% 25% 31%

ASV Hohenau Draw ASK Ybbs

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ASV Hohenau 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWDWW

ASK Ybbs 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDLWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASV Hohenau 1541 · ASK Ybbs 1535

	ASV Hohenau	Draw	ASK Ybbs
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASV Hohenau	ASK Ybbs
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0.3	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:49 +23’	2.00	3.75	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	9	7	2	0	26	5	23
2	LAC Inter	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
3	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
4	TWL Elektra	9	6	1	2	19	14	19
5	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	9	5	1	3	17	13	16
7	First Vienna II	9	4	1	4	21	19	13
8	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
9	WAF Brigittenau	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
10	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
11	Slovan HAC	9	2	3	4	11	16	9
12	Hellas Kagran	9	2	2	5	15	19	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	9	1	4	4	10	20	7
15	Simmeringer SC	9	2	0	7	5	25	6
16	Post SV	9	1	2	6	17	16	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASV Hohenau	ASK Ybbs
SG Ardagger/Neustadtl	3-1 W	1-1 D
Langenrohr	1-1 D	2-0 W
SC Wieselburg	2-1 W	1-3 L
SC Zwettl	0-1 L	2-2 D
SCU Kilb	1-0 W	2-0 W
St. Peter/Au	3-1 W	3-0 W
SC Retz	1-3 L	1-0 W
Wiener Neustadt	1-3 L	0-2 L
Admira Wacker Modling II	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASK Ybbs (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASV Hohenau

WLLWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SKU Amstetten II Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
09/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
02/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/09	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/09	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Wiener Neustadt Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	8	9	L
14/08	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

ASK Ybbs

DWLWWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/10	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
25/09	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	Wiener Neustadt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	SK Korneuburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ybbs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASV Hohenau win (44%). Probabilities: ASV Hohenau 44%, draw 25%, ASK Ybbs 31%.

How many goals are expected in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ybbs?

The model expects 2.87 goals (ASV Hohenau 1.59 · ASK Ybbs 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ybbs?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.