Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Frydek Mistek B vs Pusta Polom

Team pages: Frydek Mistek B · Pusta Polom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Frydek Mistek B2.04

Pusta Polom1.87

1X2

42% 22% 36%

Frydek Mistek B Draw Pusta Polom

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Pusta Polom 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek B 1495 · Pusta Polom 1480

	Frydek Mistek B	Draw	Pusta Polom
Our model	42%	22%	35%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek B	Pusta Polom
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.2	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 5.1	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +24’	2.10	4.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
12	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek B	Pusta Polom
SSK Bilovec	2-2 D	0-1 L
Bridlicna	4-2 W	1-0 W
FK Bohumin	1-2 L	1-4 L
SK Zabreh	2-1 W	2-2 D
Hlucin	1-2 L	1-4 L
Jiskra Rymarov	0-4 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek B (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	0	0	D
18/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	10	3	W
11/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
20/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	4	5	L
29/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L

Pusta Polom

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	3-4	2	4	L
11/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
04/10	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
27/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	8	12	W
18/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
13/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	4	L
23/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek B vs Pusta Polom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek B win (42%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek B 42%, draw 22%, Pusta Polom 36%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek B vs Pusta Polom?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Frydek Mistek B 2.04 · Pusta Polom 1.87), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek B vs Pusta Polom?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.