Football · Germany 3. Liga · 08/08, 14:00
Prediction: FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
FC Ingolstadt2.07
Wurzburger Kickers1.18
1X2
FC Ingolstadt
Draw
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Ingolstadt
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Wurzburger Kickers
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Ingolstadt
3–1–2
Wurzburger Kickers
(6 last)
- Wurzburger Kickers1-2FC Ingolstadt
- Wurzburger Kickers3-1FC Ingolstadt
- FC Ingolstadt3-0Wurzburger Kickers
- FC Ingolstadt1-0Wurzburger Kickers
- FC Ingolstadt1-1Wurzburger Kickers
- FC Ingolstadt1-2Wurzburger Kickers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Ingolstadt 1520 · Wurzburger Kickers 1589
| FC Ingolstadt | Draw | Wurzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wurzburger Kickers (rating 1520 vs 1589).
- H2H favours FC Ingolstadt: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ingolstadt | Wurzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ingolstadt 3–1–2 Wurzburger Kickers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/24 Germany Landespokal | Wurzburger Kickers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Ingolstadt |
| 09/02/20 Germany 3. Liga | Wurzburger Kickers | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FC Ingolstadt |
| 02/08/19 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 12/10/18 Club Friendly List | FC Ingolstadt | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 10/11/17 Club Friendly List | FC Ingolstadt | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 06/10/16 Europe Friendlies | FC Ingolstadt | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Wurzburger Kickers |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saarbrucken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ingolstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wurzburger Kickers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Fortuna Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hansa Rostock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Meppen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Waldhof Mannheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wehen SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alemannia Aachen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TSV Havelse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Ingolstadt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Heidenheim Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | RB Leipzig Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Palermo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | LASK Linz Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | VfB Eichstätt Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | 1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga |
3-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | VfL Osnabruck Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Wurzburger Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | VfR Aalen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Greuther Furth II Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Bayern Munich II Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ingolstadt win (57%). Probabilities: FC Ingolstadt 57%, draw 23%, Wurzburger Kickers 20%.
How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers?
The model expects 3.25 goals (FC Ingolstadt 2.07 · Wurzburger Kickers 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.