Football · Germany 3. Liga · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Waldhof Mannheim1.66
Fortuna Dusseldorf1.86
1X2
33% 25% 42%
Waldhof Mannheim Draw Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Waldhof Mannheim 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDLWLWLWWL
Fortuna Dusseldorf 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waldhof Mannheim 1501 · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1556
Waldhof MannheimDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
Our model34%24%42%
Market33%26%41%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Dusseldorf (rating 1501 vs 1556).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Waldhof MannheimFortuna Dusseldorf
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.93.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.81.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.11.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.11.9 / 0

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Saarbrucken 000 000
1 FC Ingolstadt 000 000
1 FC Viktoria Köln 000 000
1 Wurzburger Kickers 000 000
1 SC Fortuna Köln 000 000
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 000 000
1 Hansa Rostock 000 000
1 Jahn Regensburg 000 000
1 MSV Duisburg 000 000
1 Rot-Weiss Essen 000 000
1 SC Preussen Munster 000 000
1 Verl 000 000
1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 000 000
1 SV Meppen 000 000
1 Waldhof Mannheim 000 000
1 Wehen SV 000 000
1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 000 000
1 Alemannia Aachen 000 000
1 TSV Havelse 000 000
1 VfB Stuttgart II 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waldhof Mannheim

DDLWLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Eintracht Frankfurt
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 L
25/07 NK Triglav Kranj
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-1 92 W
23/07 FC Liefering
Europe Friendlies
0-0 4-1 51 W
18/07 Nurnberg
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-3 L
11/07 FC Thun
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-1 W
16/05 FC Ingolstadt
Germany 3. Liga
0-2 1-5 52 L
09/05 Jahn Regensburg
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 56 W
02/05 Saarbrucken
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 65 L
25/04 Schweinfurt 05
Germany 3. Liga
1-0 2-2 85 D
19/04 Wehen SV
Germany 3. Liga
0-3 3-3 55 D

Fortuna Dusseldorf

WLWLWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Borussia Dortmund
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 2-1 31 W
18/07 LASK Linz
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 21 L
15/07 MFK Ruzomberok
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 41 W
09/07 VFL Benrath
Club Friendly List
7-1 12-1 W
08/07 SC St. Tonis 1911/20
Europe Friendlies
2-0 5-0 90 W
03/07 FC Monheim
Europe Friendlies
2-0 6-0 80 W
17/05 Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga II
0-3 0-3 37 L
10/05 Elversberg
Germany Bundesliga II
2-0 3-1 23 W
02/05 Schalke
Germany Bundesliga II
0-1 0-1 14 L
24/04 Dynamo Dresden
Germany Bundesliga II
2-0 3-1 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fortuna Dusseldorf win (42%). Probabilities: Waldhof Mannheim 33%, draw 25%, Fortuna Dusseldorf 42%.

How many goals are expected in Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Waldhof Mannheim 1.66 · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.86), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.