Football · Germany 3. Liga · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Fortuna Dusseldorf vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Team pages: Fortuna Dusseldorf · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
Fortuna Dusseldorf2.52
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1.4
1X2
61% 19% 20%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Draw TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fortuna Dusseldorf 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWWLWL
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1547 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1448
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Our model61%20%19%
Market61%19%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Dusseldorf (rating 1547 vs 1448).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fortuna DusseldorfTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.11.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.71 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 41.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.4 / 0.1

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wurzburger Kickers 2110 624
2 Saarbrucken 1100 523
2 Jahn Regensburg 1100 523
4 Alemannia Aachen 1100 413
5 MSV Duisburg 1100 303
6 SC Preussen Munster 1100 313
7 Hansa Rostock 1100 323
7 VfB Stuttgart II 1100 323
9 Waldhof Mannheim 1100 213
10 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1100 103
11 FC Ingolstadt 1010 221
12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1001 230
12 TSV Havelse 1001 230
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1001 120
15 SC Fortuna Köln 1001 010
16 FC Viktoria Köln 1001 250
16 Rot-Weiss Essen 1001 250
18 Verl 1001 140
19 SV Meppen 1001 030
20 Wehen SV 2002 170

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortuna Dusseldorf

LWLWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Waldhof Mannheim
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 1-2 48 L
25/07 Borussia Dortmund
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 2-1 31 W
18/07 LASK Linz
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 21 L
15/07 MFK Ruzomberok
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 41 W
09/07 VFL Benrath
Club Friendly List
7-1 12-1 W
08/07 SC St. Tonis 1911/20
Europe Friendlies
2-0 5-0 90 W
03/07 FC Monheim
Europe Friendlies
2-0 6-0 80 W
17/05 Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga II
0-3 0-3 37 L
10/05 Elversberg
Germany Bundesliga II
2-0 3-1 23 W
02/05 Schalke
Germany Bundesliga II
0-1 0-1 14 L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

WDDLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hansa Rostock
Germany 3. Liga
2-2 2-3 63 L
18/07 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 54 L
16/05 Wehen SV
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 32 L
10/05 Saarbrucken
Germany 3. Liga
2-0 3-2 41 W
02/05 Jahn Regensburg
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 1-2 44 L
25/04 FC Ingolstadt
Germany 3. Liga
0-3 0-3 64 L
18/04 MSV Duisburg
Germany 3. Liga
1-1 1-3 44 L
10/04 Schweinfurt 05
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 1-1 24 D
07/04 Waldhof Mannheim
Germany 3. Liga
1-0 1-1 35 D
04/04 Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga
4-1 5-3 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortuna Dusseldorf win (61%). Probabilities: Fortuna Dusseldorf 61%, draw 19%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 20%.

How many goals are expected in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Fortuna Dusseldorf 2.52 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1.4), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.