Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs Kravare

Team pages: FC Vratimov · Kravare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

FC Vratimov1.8

Kravare1.54

1X2

44% 24% 32%

FC Vratimov Draw Kravare

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Kravare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1567 · Kravare 1564

	FC Vratimov	Draw	Kravare
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	44%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	Kravare
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.80

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +48’	2.05	3.80	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
13	FK Sumperk	12	2	5	5	15	18	11
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	Kravare
TJ Novy Jicin	1-0 W	4-0 W
Pusta Polom	4-3 W	2-1 W
SSK Bilovec	1-2 L	2-0 W
Bridlicna	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Bohumin	3-2 W	1-5 L
SK Zabreh	3-1 W	1-0 W
Opava B	0-3 L	3-0 W
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2-1 W	7-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kravare (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
17/10	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	4-3	9	4	W
11/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
27/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Kravare

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
16/10	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/10	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	0	4	W
04/10	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
27/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
13/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	8	5	L
06/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
22/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	7-2	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs Kravare?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vratimov win (44%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 44%, draw 24%, Kravare 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs Kravare?

The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Vratimov 1.8 · Kravare 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs Kravare?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.