Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 10:30
Prediction: Sparta Brno vs FC Kurim
Team pages: Sparta Brno · FC Kurim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.04Total
Sparta Brno1.73
FC Kurim2.31
1X2
Sparta Brno
Draw
FC Kurim
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Brno
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
FC Kurim
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Brno
2–4
FC Kurim
(6 last)
- FC Kurim3-1Sparta Brno
- Sparta Brno0-2FC Kurim
- Sparta Brno5-1FC Kurim
- Sparta Brno2-3FC Kurim
- FC Kurim2-0Sparta Brno
- Sparta Brno4-1FC Kurim
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1546 · FC Kurim 1597
| Sparta Brno | Draw | FC Kurim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 21% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kurim (rating 1546 vs 1597).
- H2H favours FC Kurim: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Brno | FC Kurim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.3 | 3.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 2–0–4 FC Kurim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga | FC Kurim | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Sparta Brno |
| 01/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga | Sparta Brno | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Kurim |
| 14/06/24 Czechia 5. Liga | Sparta Brno | 5-1 HT 3-0 | FC Kurim |
| 07/04/23 Czechia 5. Liga | Sparta Brno | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FC Kurim |
| 27/08/22 Czechia 5. Liga | FC Kurim | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sparta Brno |
| 06/09/20 Czechia 5. Liga | Sparta Brno | 4-1 HT 3-0 | FC Kurim |
Standings · Czechia 4. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bohumin | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Kravare | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Vratimov | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Hlucin | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| 6 | Opava B | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Zabreh | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Jiskra Rymarov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 17 |
| 9 | SK Stonava | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 17 |
| 10 | TJ Novy Jicin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 11 | Pusta Polom | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Frydek Mistek B | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | FK Sumperk | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Bridlicna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 10 |
| 15 | SSK Bilovec | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 9 |
| 16 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 44 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Brno | FC Kurim |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Sokol Bedrichov | 5-2 W | 13-0 W |
| Velke Mezirici | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FK Pelhrimov | 3-0 W | 2-4 L |
| SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou | 3-1 W | 6-1 W |
| TJ Tatran Bohunice | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Sokol Tasovice | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Havlickuv Brod | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| AFC Humpolec | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Brno (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Brno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/09 | TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
FC Kurim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga |
6-0 | 13-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-4 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs FC Kurim?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kurim win (50%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 28%, draw 22%, FC Kurim 50%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs FC Kurim?
The model expects 4.04 goals (Sparta Brno 1.73 · FC Kurim 2.31), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs FC Kurim?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.