Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Zenit Caslav vs Banik Most-Sous

Team pages: Zenit Caslav · Banik Most-Sous

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Zenit Caslav1.32

Banik Most-Sous1.85

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Zenit Caslav Draw Banik Most-Sous

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Zenit Caslav 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Banik Most-Sous 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zenit Caslav 1504 · Banik Most-Sous 1473

	Zenit Caslav	Draw	Banik Most-Sous
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zenit Caslav	Banik Most-Sous
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +15’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zenit Caslav	Banik Most-Sous
Hradec Kralove B	2-4 L	0-2 L
Varnsdorf	2-2 D	1-0 W
Slovan Liberec B	0-0 D	1-1 D
Mladá Boleslav B	0-4 L	0-1 L
FK Jablonec B	2-3 L	1-3 L
SK Sokol Zapy	3-2 W	1-3 L
Velke Hamry	2-1 W	3-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	2-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Most-Sous (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zenit Caslav

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-4	3	5	L
01/11	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
28/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
18/10	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
11/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-2	0	1	W
04/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	6	W
26/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
20/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	8	6	D

Banik Most-Sous

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-3	7	4	D
31/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
25/10	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
17/10	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
10/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
03/10	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-3	7	5	L
27/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	9	L
19/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
12/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zenit Caslav vs Banik Most-Sous?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Banik Most-Sous win (49%). Probabilities: Zenit Caslav 27%, draw 24%, Banik Most-Sous 49%.

How many goals are expected in Zenit Caslav vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Zenit Caslav 1.32 · Banik Most-Sous 1.85), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zenit Caslav vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.