Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: FC Pisek vs Benesov

Team pages: FC Pisek · Benesov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FC Pisek2.21

Benesov1.44

1X2

54% 22% 24%

FC Pisek Draw Benesov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Pisek 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDLWWL

Benesov 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Pisek 4–2 Benesov (6 last)

Benesov1-3FC Pisek
Benesov0-1FC Pisek
FC Pisek4-1Benesov
FC Pisek0-2Benesov
FC Pisek0-1Benesov
Benesov2-4FC Pisek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Pisek 1499 · Benesov 1471

	FC Pisek	Draw	Benesov
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Pisek: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Pisek	Benesov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.4	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.5	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.5	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +32’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Pisek 4–0–2 Benesov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/24 Czechia Cup	Benesov	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Pisek
02/04/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Benesov	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Pisek
20/08/21 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Pisek	4-1 HT 0-1	Benesov
11/09/20 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Pisek	0-2 HT 0-2	Benesov
17/06/20 Europe Friendlies	FC Pisek	0-1 HT 0-1	Benesov
23/05/20 Europe Friendlies	Benesov	2-4 HT 1-2	FC Pisek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Pisek	Benesov
Dukla Praha B	0-4 L	2-1 W
Viktoria Plzen B	2-2 D	0-3 L
Bohemians 1905 B	3-3 D	2-1 W
FK Pribram B	1-1 D	3-2 W
FK Admira Praha	1-4 L	1-4 L
Ceske Budejovice	3-2 W	0-3 L
Slavia Prague U20	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Pisek

DWLDDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-5	2	5	L
30/10	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	5	W
25/10	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
18/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	6	0	L
09/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	9	D
04/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	3-3	3-3	8	2	D
25/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
20/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
11/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	7	7	W
05/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	7	D

Benesov

DLDLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
01/11	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
28/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-2	7	5	W
24/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	6	L
03/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	4	L
26/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
19/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
12/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	6	1	L
05/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Pisek vs Benesov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Pisek win (54%). Probabilities: FC Pisek 54%, draw 22%, Benesov 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Pisek vs Benesov?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FC Pisek 2.21 · Benesov 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Pisek vs Benesov?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.