Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Frydek Mistek1.92

MFK Vitkovice1.07

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Frydek Mistek Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLWWWW

MFK Vitkovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLLWWD

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 3–2–1 MFK Vitkovice (6 last)

MFK Vitkovice2-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-0Frydek Mistek
MFK Vitkovice0-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek0-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-3Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1559 · MFK Vitkovice 1499

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1559 vs 1499).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 3-2-1.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 7.6	2.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:44 +20’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 3–2–1 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-2 HT 2-1	Frydek Mistek
04/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice
21/08/24 Czechia Cup	MFK Vitkovice	2-0 HT 1-0	Frydek Mistek
24/01/24 Club Friendly List	MFK Vitkovice	0-2 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
27/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
29/10/22 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-3 HT 2-3	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	MFK Vitkovice
FC Trinity Zlin B	3-1 W	3-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	3-0 W	0-0 D
FK Blansko	3-0 W	0-0 D
Slovacko II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek

DWDLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	10	6	W
31/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	7	W
24/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	6	4	W
17/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	14	2	W
10/10	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
03/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
27/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
19/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
05/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	1	D

MFK Vitkovice

WDDWLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
31/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	8	5	W
24/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	0	W
16/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
03/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (57%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 57%, draw 23%, MFK Vitkovice 20%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.92 · MFK Vitkovice 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.