Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/11, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Havirov vs FK Blansko

Team pages: MFK Havirov · FK Blansko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

MFK Havirov1.46

FK Blansko1.35

1X2

40% 25% 35%

MFK Havirov Draw FK Blansko

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Havirov 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDWWLLD

FK Blansko 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Havirov 1459 · FK Blansko 1506

	MFK Havirov	Draw	FK Blansko
Our model	39%	28%	34%
Market	41%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Blansko (rating 1459 vs 1506).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Havirov	FK Blansko
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +6’	2.20	3.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Havirov	FK Blansko
CSK Uhersky Brod	2-2 D	2-1 W
SK Unicov	0-2 L	3-1 W
Frydek Mistek	0-0 D	0-3 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	0-0 D	0-1 L
FC Vsetin	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Blansko (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Havirov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
01/11	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
24/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
18/10	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
11/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	8	W
03/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
27/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
05/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L

FK Blansko

LDWLDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	8	W
01/11	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
17/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
10/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
26/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
20/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	5-3	4	3	W
12/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Havirov vs FK Blansko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Havirov win (40%). Probabilities: MFK Havirov 40%, draw 25%, FK Blansko 35%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Havirov vs FK Blansko?

The model expects 2.81 goals (MFK Havirov 1.46 · FK Blansko 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Havirov vs FK Blansko?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.