Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs SK Unicov

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · SK Unicov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

SFK Vrchovina1.17

SK Unicov1.77

1X2

25% 24% 51%

SFK Vrchovina Draw SK Unicov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLDWL

SK Unicov 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDDWWW

Head-to-head

SFK Vrchovina 3–1–2 SK Unicov (6 last)

SFK Vrchovina0-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov1-1SFK Vrchovina
SK Unicov1-0SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina2-0SK Unicov
SFK Vrchovina2-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov1-2SFK Vrchovina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1474 · SK Unicov 1541

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	SK Unicov
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Unicov (rating 1474 vs 1541).
H2H favours SFK Vrchovina: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	SK Unicov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	4.3 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.5	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.89 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +57’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +75’	3.30	3.65	1.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Vrchovina 3–1–2 SK Unicov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Unicov
31/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	1-1 HT 1-1	SFK Vrchovina
26/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	1-0 HT 0-0	SFK Vrchovina
27/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Unicov
15/06/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-1 HT 1-1	SK Unicov
13/11/21 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	1-2 HT 0-1	SFK Vrchovina

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	SK Unicov
Frydek Mistek	2-4 L	1-1 D
TJ Unie Hlubina	3-2 W	3-0 W
FC Vsetin	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Brno II	0-3 L	1-2 L
SK Hranice	0-1 L	1-0 W
MFK Vitkovice	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Unicov (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Vrchovina

LWWWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
19/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
12/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	9	L
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L

SK Unicov

WLWWLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
27/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
20/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	3-2	4-3	11	6	W
13/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
02/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
30/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
22/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	2	W
16/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
07/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs SK Unicov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Unicov win (51%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 25%, draw 24%, SK Unicov 51%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs SK Unicov?

The model expects 2.94 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.17 · SK Unicov 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs SK Unicov?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.