Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/11, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs FC Vsetin

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · FC Vsetin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

MFK Karvina B1.95

FC Vsetin1.11

1X2

57% 23% 21%

MFK Karvina B Draw FC Vsetin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLWLWW

FC Vsetin 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWLLLL

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 1–1 FC Vsetin (2 last)

FC Vsetin1-2MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B0-1FC Vsetin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1499 · FC Vsetin 1438

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	FC Vsetin
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Karvina B (rating 1499 vs 1438).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	FC Vsetin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.66 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.36
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
03:19 +10’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:45 +45’	1.66	4.36	3.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 1–0–1 FC Vsetin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	1-2 HT 0-1	MFK Karvina B
09/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vsetin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
2	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
4	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
5	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
6	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina B	FC Vsetin
FC Brno II	3-1 W	0-5 L
MFK Vitkovice	4-0 W	1-4 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	0-1 L	0-2 L
SK Artis Brno B	2-2 D	0-1 L
FK Blansko	3-5 L	0-2 L
Slovacko II	1-3 L	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Karvina B (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Karvina B

LWLLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	6	W
25/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
10/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	8	6	W
04/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
25/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	2	4	D
20/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-5	5	3	L
13/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	2	L

FC Vsetin

LWWDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	5	L
25/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
17/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
03/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
26/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
19/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
13/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
02/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs FC Vsetin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina B win (57%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 57%, draw 23%, FC Vsetin 21%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs FC Vsetin?

The model expects 3.06 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.95 · FC Vsetin 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs FC Vsetin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.