Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Polanka vs Slovacko II

Team pages: Polanka · Slovacko II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Polanka1.37

Slovacko II1.9

1X2

27% 23% 49%

Polanka Draw Slovacko II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Polanka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLLWL

Slovacko II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLLWD

Head-to-head

Polanka 1–1 Slovacko II (2 last)

Slovacko II4-0Polanka
Polanka2-1Slovacko II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1446 · Slovacko II 1496

	Polanka	Draw	Slovacko II
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovacko II (rating 1446 vs 1496).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polanka	Slovacko II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:37 +27’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polanka 1–0–1 Slovacko II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	4-0 HT 1-0	Polanka
19/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	2-1 HT 1-1	Slovacko II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polanka	Slovacko II
MFK Havirov	1-3 L	1-1 D
CSK Uhersky Brod	4-0 W	2-1 W
SK Unicov	1-3 L	1-2 L
Frydek Mistek	1-0 W	1-2 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	1-1 D	5-2 W
FC Vsetin	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Brno II	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Slovacko II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polanka

LLDWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
01/11	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	4-2	2	3	W
25/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-5	6	4	L
18/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
11/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L

Slovacko II

LWDLLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
31/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
25/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
17/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
11/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	5-2	3	3	W
03/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
25/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
18/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
13/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
05/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs Slovacko II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Slovacko II win (49%). Probabilities: Polanka 27%, draw 23%, Slovacko II 49%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs Slovacko II?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Polanka 1.37 · Slovacko II 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs Slovacko II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.